I have Little hope Nog has changed his game or recovered enough to make the fight with the much bigger quicker Mir any different this time around. Though Mir hasnt the best Chin and he did KO Schaub standing. Despite this I reckon Nog needs to capitalise on Mir's relatively weak TDD and get this one to the groud where I give him the advantage. I see him trading strikes and getting KO'd again.
Lil Nog is in with his 4th straight wrestler, He Scraped a win over Brilz and gave Bader a 50/50 fight then was dominated by Phil Davis. Lil Nog isnt the most Physical Lhw and in a way is like the Diaz brothers, dangerous Subs and Hands but a bit lacking in the Wrestling department so Wrestlers are going to cause him problems... I dont know wether Tito will though. After 3 straight fights against Wrestlers he has spend a lot of time drilling his TDD, Tito isnt as quick as he once was and has more confidence in his standup. I think Nog will soundly outstrike him but I cant see Tito getting happed from top position on the ground.
Im going for KO by Mir and either KO or UD for Lil Nog, though it would make my night come UFC 140 to see both guys getting their hands raised.